Poll: Donald Trump Chips Away at Hillary Clinton's National Lead
Hillary Clinton's national lead over Donald Trump has narrowed slightly to 6 points, according to the latest NBC News|SurveyMonkey Weekly Election Tracking Poll
Clinton now enjoys 48 percent support, while
Trump holds steady with 42 percent. Last week, Clinton led Trump by 8
points. The latest NBC News|SurveyMonkey poll was conducted online from
August 22 through August 28 among registered voters.
In a four-way general election match-up, Clinton
leads with 41 percent, a 4-point margin over Trump (37 percent).
Libertarian Gary Johnson maintains 11 percent of the vote and Green
Party candidate Jill Stein holds steady with 5 percent.
Given the highly partisan nature of voting, it's
clear there are not that many voters who are persuadable. Since both
parties' conventions last month, a roughly equal number of Republicans
and Republican-leaners support Trump and an equal number of
self-identified Democrats and Democratic-leaners support Clinton.
The one group that is open to changing their
minds are registered Independents who do not lean toward either party.
Trump has made inroads with this group. Two weeks ago, Clinton led Trump
by 12 points among this key group of persuadable voters — 40 percent to
32 percent. This week, that lead is down to just 4 points — 37 percent
to 33 percent.
The presidential campaign will enter a final
phase after Labor Day, when there will be an increase in political
advertising in battleground states and final appeals will be made to
those few voters who have yet to make up their minds.
Though the tracking poll shows that Trump may be
closing the gap against Clinton among Independent voters, another key
question for both campaigns is whether these non-partisans will be
motivated to vote at all. According to data from this week's tracking
poll, 70 percent of Independents who now support Clinton say they have
supported someone else in the past six months. Among those Independents
who currently support Trump, 64 percent say they supported someone else
in the past six months.
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